La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 21

Jan 21, 2024 at 1pm UK

Estadio El Sadar

Osasuna
3 - 2
Getafe

Garcia (9'), Munoz (31'), Areso (80')
Garcia (26'), Gomez (29'), Garcia (76'), Ibanez (80'), Cruz (89')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Mayoral (64'), Maksimovic (68')
Iglesias (27'), Milla (39'), Iglesias (77'), Maksimovic (86'), Angel Carmona (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Osasuna and Getafe, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Osasuna

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Osasuna 0-2 Real Sociedad
Wednesday, January 17 at 8pm in Copa del Rey

Goals
for

Top scorers

Getafe

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Getafe 1-3 Sevilla
Tuesday, January 16 at 7pm in Copa del Rey

Goals
for

Top scorers

Osasuna have won just three home league games this season, while Getafe have drawn five times on their travels. A case can be made for either team to triumph this weekend, but we believe that a close contest between two well-matched sides will end with the points being shared. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Osasuna win with a probability of 45.9%. A draw had a probability of 27.7% and a win for Getafe had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Osasuna win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.13%) and 2-1 (8.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.87%), while for a Getafe win it was 0-1 (9.57%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Osasuna would win this match.

Result
Osasuna	Draw	Getafe
45.9% ( 0.03)	27.7% ( -0.02)	26.4% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 45.29% (

0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.21% (

0.06)

59.79% (

-0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.92% (

0.04)

80.08% (

-0.05)

Osasuna Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.94% (

0.04)

26.05% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.9% (

0.06)

61.1% (

-0.06)

Getafe Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.24% (

0.02)

38.75% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.51% (

0.02)

75.49% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

Osasuna 45.9%

Getafe 26.4%

Draw 27.69%

Osasuna	Draw	Getafe
1-0 @ 13.58% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 9.13% ( 0) 2-1 @ 8.66% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 4.09% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 3.88% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.84% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.38% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.31% ( 0) Other @ 2.03% Total : 45.9%	1-1 @ 12.87% 0-0 @ 10.09% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 4.1% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.63% Total : 27.69%	0-1 @ 9.57% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 6.1% ( 0) 0-2 @ 4.54% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.93% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.43% 2-3 @ 1.3% ( 0) Other @ 1.53% Total : 26.4%