We said: Espanyol 1-2 Getafe
Espanyol have been able to pick consistent results in the last few matches, but they will need more than a draw to advance into the next round of the competition.
Getafe had a disastrous match against Rayo Vallecano on Tuesday to kick off 2024, but the visitors should have enough to book their place in the last 16 on Saturday.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Espanyol win with a probability of 58.68%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Getafe had a probability of 17.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a Espanyol win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.78%) and 2-1 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.17%), while for a Getafe win it was 0-1 (6.57%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Getafe would win this match.