Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Valladolid win with a probability of 38.88%. A win for Las Palmas had a probability of 36.23% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Valladolid win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.27%) and 0-2 (6.07%). The likeliest Las Palmas win was 2-1 (8.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.65%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Las Palmas in this match.
Result | ||
Las Palmas | Draw | Real Valladolid |
36.23% ( -1.11) | 24.88% ( -0.47) | 38.88% ( 1.58) |
Both teams to score 58.12% ( 1.63) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.83% ( 2.13) | 45.17% ( -2.13) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.49% ( 2.01) | 67.51% ( -2.01) |
Las Palmas Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.54% ( 0.37) | 24.46% ( -0.37) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.1% ( 0.52) | 58.9% ( -0.52) |
Real Valladolid Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.94% ( 1.79) | 23.05% ( -1.79) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.11% ( 2.56) | 56.88% ( -2.56) |
Score Analysis |
Las Palmas | Draw | Real Valladolid |
2-1 @ 8.2% ( -0.13) 1-0 @ 7.94% ( -0.66) 2-0 @ 5.59% ( -0.4) 3-1 @ 3.85% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.83% ( 0.13) 3-0 @ 2.62% ( -0.16) 4-1 @ 1.36% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1% ( 0.06) 4-0 @ 0.92% ( -0.04) Other @ 1.92% Total : 36.23% | 1-1 @ 11.65% ( -0.31) 2-2 @ 6.02% ( 0.22) 0-0 @ 5.64% ( -0.53) 3-3 @ 1.38% ( 0.13) Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.88% | 1-2 @ 8.55% ( 0.22) 0-1 @ 8.27% ( -0.32) 0-2 @ 6.07% ( 0.09) 1-3 @ 4.18% ( 0.31) 0-3 @ 2.97% ( 0.19) 2-3 @ 2.94% ( 0.25) 1-4 @ 1.53% ( 0.19) 0-4 @ 1.09% ( 0.12) 2-4 @ 1.08% ( 0.14) Other @ 2.19% Total : 38.88% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Madrid | 19 | 13 | 4 | 2 | 43 | 19 | 24 | 43 |
2 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 18 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 33 | 12 | 21 | 41 |
3 | Barcelona | 19 | 12 | 2 | 5 | 51 | 22 | 29 | 38 |
4 | Athletic Bilbao | 19 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 29 | 17 | 12 | 36 |
5 | Villarreal | 18 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 34 | 30 | 4 | 30 |
6 | Mallorca | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 30 |
7 | Real Sociedad | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 25 |
8 | GironaGirona | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 25 |
9 | Real BetisBetis | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 21 | 22 | -1 | 25 |
10 | Osasuna | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 23 | 27 | -4 | 25 |
11 | Celta Vigo | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 24 |
12 | Rayo Vallecano | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 22 |
13 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 23 | 27 | -4 | 22 |
14 | Sevilla | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 20 | 27 | -7 | 22 |
15 | Leganes | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 18 |
16 | AlavesAlaves | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 21 | 30 | -9 | 17 |
17 | Getafe | 18 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 15 | -4 | 16 |
18 | Espanyol | 18 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 16 | 30 | -14 | 15 |
19 | Valencia | 18 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 12 |
20 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 18 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 12 | 37 | -25 | 12 |
> La Liga Full Table |