Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Valladolid win with a probability of 38.98%. A win for Las Palmas had a probability of 34.3% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Valladolid win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.38%) and 0-2 (6.87%). The likeliest Las Palmas win was 1-0 (9.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.