Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Getafe win with a probability of 35.16%. A win for Rayo Vallecano had a probability of 33.62% and a draw had a probability of 31.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Getafe win was 1-0 with a probability of 14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.97%) and 2-1 (6.73%). The likeliest Rayo Vallecano win was 0-1 (13.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 0-0 (14.07%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 14.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
Getafe | Draw | Rayo Vallecano |
35.16% ( -0.24) | 31.22% ( -0.09) | 33.62% ( 0.33) |
Both teams to score 39.03% ( 0.23) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
31.27% ( 0.26) | 68.73% ( -0.26) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
13.58% ( 0.17) | 86.41% ( -0.17) |
Getafe Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.03% ( -0.02) | 36.97% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.24% ( -0.02) | 73.76% ( 0.02) |
Rayo Vallecano Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.93% ( 0.38) | 38.07% ( -0.38) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.16% ( 0.37) | 74.84% ( -0.37) |
Score Analysis |
Getafe | Draw | Rayo Vallecano |
1-0 @ 14% ( -0.14) 2-0 @ 6.97% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 6.73% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.31% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 2.23% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.08% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.84% Total : 35.16% | 0-0 @ 14.07% ( -0.14) 1-1 @ 13.52% 2-2 @ 3.25% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.37% Total : 31.21% | 0-1 @ 13.59% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 6.56% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 6.53% ( 0.07) 0-3 @ 2.11% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 2.1% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 1.05% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.67% Total : 33.62% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barcelona | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 25 | 9 | 16 | 21 |
2 | Real Madrid | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 17 | 6 | 11 | 18 |
3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 8 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 12 | 4 | 8 | 16 |
4 | Athletic Bilbao | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 14 |
5 | Mallorca | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 14 |
6 | Villarreal | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 14 |
7 | Osasuna | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 14 |
8 | Real BetisBetis | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 12 |
9 | Rayo Vallecano | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 10 |
10 | Celta Vigo | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 10 |
11 | AlavesAlaves | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 10 |
12 | GironaGirona | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 9 |
13 | Sevilla | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 10 | -2 | 9 |
14 | Real Sociedad | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 8 |
15 | Getafe | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 7 |
16 | Leganes | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 9 | -4 | 7 |
17 | Espanyol | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 7 |
18 | Valencia | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 13 | -8 | 5 |
19 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 17 | -13 | 5 |
20 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 13 | -5 | 3 |
> La Liga Full Table |