La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 37

May 19, 2024 at 6pm UK

Estadi Olimpic Lluis Companys

Barcelona
3 - 0
Rayo Vallecano

Lewandowski (3'), Pedri (72', 75')
Yamal (10'), Raphinha (31'), Cubarsi (37'), Cancelo (90+2')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Mumin (23'), Valentin (50')

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Barcelona

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Almeria 0-2 Barcelona
Thursday, May 16 at 8.30pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Rayo Vallecano

All competitions

Last Game: Rayo Vallecano 2-1 Granada
Wednesday, May 15 at 6.30pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Barcelona 2-1 Rayo Vallecano

Rayo's recent record against Barcelona is very impressive, and it would not be a surprise to see them claim another positive result this weekend. Rayo should have enough to stay in the division regardless of their final two results, though, and we are expecting Barcelona to navigate their way to all three points on Sunday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 66.7%. A draw had a probability of 19% and a win for Rayo Vallecano had a probability of 14.25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.93%) and 2-1 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.97%), while for a Rayo Vallecano win it was 0-1 (4.1%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barcelona would win this match.

Result
Barcelona	Draw	Rayo Vallecano
66.7% ( -3.35)	19.05% ( 1.36)	14.25% ( 1.99)

Both teams to score 52.81% (

1.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.73% (

-1.55)

40.26% (

1.54)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.36% (

-1.61)

62.63% (

1.61)

Barcelona Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.81% (

-1.27)

11.19% (

1.27)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

64.3% (

-2.86)

35.69% (

2.86)

Rayo Vallecano Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.46% (

2.01)

40.53% (

-2.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.86% (

1.77)

77.14% (

-1.77)

Score Analysis

Barcelona 66.69%

Rayo Vallecano 14.25%

Draw 19.05%

Barcelona	Draw	Rayo Vallecano
2-0 @ 10.87% ( -0.39) 1-0 @ 9.93% ( 0.18) 2-1 @ 9.82% ( 0.2) 3-0 @ 7.94% ( -0.74) 3-1 @ 7.17% ( -0.24) 4-0 @ 4.35% ( -0.66) 4-1 @ 3.93% ( -0.36) 3-2 @ 3.24% ( 0.07) 5-0 @ 1.91% ( -0.41) 4-2 @ 1.77% ( -0.06) 5-1 @ 1.72% ( -0.26) Other @ 4.04% Total : 66.69%	1-1 @ 8.97% ( 0.64) 0-0 @ 4.54% ( 0.32) 2-2 @ 4.44% ( 0.32) 3-3 @ 0.98% ( 0.07) Other @ 0.13% Total : 19.05%	0-1 @ 4.1% ( 0.49) 1-2 @ 4.05% ( 0.49) 0-2 @ 1.85% ( 0.31) 2-3 @ 1.34% ( 0.16) 1-3 @ 1.22% ( 0.21) Other @ 1.7% Total : 14.25%