La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 34

May 5, 2024 at 8pm UK

Estadio de Vallecas

Rayo Vallecano
0 - 1
Almeria

Falcao (26'), Mumin (82'), Trejo (90+1')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Lozano (30')
Pena (79'), Montes (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Rayo Vallecano and Almeria, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Rayo Vallecano

All competitions

Last Game: Villarreal 3-0 Rayo Vallecano
Sunday, April 28 at 5.30pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Almeria

All competitions

Last Game: Almeria 1-3 Getafe
Saturday, April 27 at 3.15pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Rayo Vallecano 1-0 Almeria

We are not expecting this to be a classic, but it is vital that Rayo secure all three points. Almeria have been a very difficult team to back all season, and we are finding it tough again here, ultimately settling on a narrow success for the hosts on Sunday night. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rayo Vallecano win with a probability of 52.07%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Almeria had a probability of 22.76%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rayo Vallecano win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.9%) and 2-1 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.93%), while for an Almeria win it was 0-1 (7.52%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.

Result
Rayo Vallecano	Draw	Almeria
52.07% ( -0.42)	25.16% ( 0.06)	22.76% ( 0.36)

Both teams to score 48.97% (

0.26)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.71% (

0.12)

53.28% (

-0.13)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.16% (

0.1)

74.83% (

-0.11)

Rayo Vallecano Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.53% (

-0.12)

20.46% (

0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.07% (

-0.2)

52.92% (

0.19)

Almeria Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.57% (

0.42)

38.43% (

-0.42)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.82% (

0.4)

75.18% (

-0.4)

Score Analysis

Rayo Vallecano 52.07%

Almeria 22.76%

Draw 25.16%

Rayo Vallecano	Draw	Almeria
1-0 @ 12.47% ( -0.11) 2-0 @ 9.9% ( -0.12) 2-1 @ 9.47% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 5.23% ( -0.09) 3-1 @ 5.01% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.39% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 2.08% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 1.99% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 0.95% ( 0) Other @ 2.59% Total : 52.07%	1-1 @ 11.93% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 7.86% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 4.53% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.84% Total : 25.16%	0-1 @ 7.52% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 5.71% ( 0.08) 0-2 @ 3.6% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 1.82% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 1.44% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 1.15% ( 0.03) Other @ 1.53% Total : 22.76%