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La Liga | Gameweek 34
May 5, 2024 at 8pm UK
Estadio de Vallecas
Almeria

Rayo Vallecano
0 - 1
Almeria


Falcao (26'), Mumin (82'), Trejo (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Lozano (30')
Pena (79'), Montes (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Rayo Vallecano and Almeria, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Almeria 1-3 Getafe
Saturday, April 27 at 3.15pm in La Liga

We said: Rayo Vallecano 1-0 Almeria

We are not expecting this to be a classic, but it is vital that Rayo secure all three points. Almeria have been a very difficult team to back all season, and we are finding it tough again here, ultimately settling on a narrow success for the hosts on Sunday night. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rayo Vallecano win with a probability of 52.07%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Almeria had a probability of 22.76%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rayo Vallecano win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.9%) and 2-1 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.93%), while for an Almeria win it was 0-1 (7.52%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.

Result
Rayo VallecanoDrawAlmeria
52.07% (-0.42299999999999 -0.42) 25.16% (0.056999999999999 0.06) 22.76% (0.362 0.36)
Both teams to score 48.97% (0.26 0.26)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.71% (0.122 0.12)53.28% (-0.125 -0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.16% (0.104 0.1)74.83% (-0.107 -0.11)
Rayo Vallecano Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.53% (-0.124 -0.12)20.46% (0.121 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.07% (-0.197 -0.2)52.92% (0.194 0.19)
Almeria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.57% (0.419 0.42)38.43% (-0.422 -0.42)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.82% (0.4 0.4)75.18% (-0.404 -0.4)
Score Analysis
    Rayo Vallecano 52.07%
    Almeria 22.76%
    Draw 25.16%
Rayo VallecanoDrawAlmeria
1-0 @ 12.47% (-0.11 -0.11)
2-0 @ 9.9% (-0.123 -0.12)
2-1 @ 9.47% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-0 @ 5.23% (-0.086 -0.09)
3-1 @ 5.01% (-0.024 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.39% (0.016 0.02)
4-0 @ 2.08% (-0.042 -0.04)
4-1 @ 1.99% (-0.017 -0.02)
4-2 @ 0.95% (0.003 0)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 52.07%
1-1 @ 11.93% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
0-0 @ 7.86% (-0.037999999999999 -0.04)
2-2 @ 4.53% (0.047 0.05)
Other @ 0.84%
Total : 25.16%
0-1 @ 7.52% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
1-2 @ 5.71% (0.081 0.08)
0-2 @ 3.6% (0.064 0.06)
1-3 @ 1.82% (0.046 0.05)
2-3 @ 1.44% (0.031 0.03)
0-3 @ 1.15% (0.033 0.03)
Other @ 1.53%
Total : 22.76%

How you voted: Rayo Vallecano vs Almeria

Rayo Vallecano
76.1%
Draw
15.2%
Almeria
8.7%
46
Head to Head
Aug 11, 2023 6.30pm
Gameweek 1
Almeria
0-2
Rayo Vallecano

Ramazani (65')
Isi (20' pen.), Nteka (28' pen.)
Lopez (40'), Garcia (51'), Valentin (65')
Feb 6, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 20
Rayo Vallecano
2-0
Almeria
Ely (54' og.), Garcia (63')
Oct 8, 2022 1pm
Apr 2, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 33
Almeria
0-1
Rayo Vallecano

Robertone (31'), Morlanes (33'), Fernandes (54'), Corpas (56'), Balliu (59')
Fernandes (70')
Bebe (89')
Catena (26'), Antonin (44'), Valentin (49'), Garcia (86')
Nov 8, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 11
Rayo Vallecano
0-1
Almeria

Martin (55'), Velazquez (74'), Comesana (82')
Advincula (27')
Cuenca (90+5')
Akieme (50'), Villalba (60'), Sadiq (61')
Sadiq (79')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona13110240122833
2Real Madrid1283125111427
3Atletico MadridAtletico137511971226
4Villarreal127322319424
5Osasuna136341720-321
6Athletic Bilbao135531913620
7Real BetisBetis135531412220
8Real Sociedad135351110118
9Mallorca135351010018
10GironaGirona135351617-118
11Celta Vigo135262022-217
12Rayo Vallecano124441313016
13Sevilla134361218-615
14Leganes133551316-314
15AlavesAlaves134181422-813
16Las PalmasLas Palmas133371622-612
17Getafe13175811-310
18Espanyol123181122-1110
19Real ValladolidValladolid132381025-159
20Valencia11146817-97


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