Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vissel Kobe win with a probability of 38.86%. A win for Nagoya Grampus had a probability of 36.19% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vissel Kobe win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.34%) and 2-0 (6.09%). The likeliest Nagoya Grampus win was 1-2 (8.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vissel Kobe would win this match.