Nagoya Grampus

1 - 3

Kashima Antlers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kashima Antlers win with a probability of 40.58%. A win for Nagoya Grampus had a probability of 32.6% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kashima Antlers win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.53%) and 0-2 (7.28%). The likeliest Nagoya Grampus win was 1-0 (9.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kashima Antlers would win this match.