J1 League | Gameweek 27
Aug 16, 2024 at 11.30am UK
Sapporo Atsubetsu Park Stadium
Consadole5 - 3Sagan Tosu
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Consadole Sapporo and Sagan Tosu.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Consadole 2-2 Avispa Fukuoka
Saturday, August 10 at 6am in J1 League
Saturday, August 10 at 6am in J1 League
Goals
for
for
28
Last Game: Sagan Tosu 1-1 Urawa
Sunday, August 11 at 11am in J1 League
Sunday, August 11 at 11am in J1 League
Goals
for
for
32
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Consadole Sapporo win with a probability of 47.11%. A win for Sagan Tosu had a probability of 28.63% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Consadole Sapporo win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.22%) and 2-0 (7.61%). The likeliest Sagan Tosu win was 1-2 (7.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.38%). The actual scoreline of 5-3 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Consadole Sapporo would win this match.
Result | ||
Consadole Sapporo | Draw | Sagan Tosu |
47.11% ( -0.03) | 24.26% ( 0.01) | 28.63% ( 0.02) |
Both teams to score 57.29% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.05% ( -0.02) | 44.95% ( 0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.7% ( -0.02) | 67.3% ( 0.02) |
Consadole Sapporo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.8% ( -0.02) | 19.2% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.12% ( -0.03) | 50.88% ( 0.03) |
Sagan Tosu Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.9% ( 0) | 29.1% ( -0) |