MX23RW : Sunday, November 10 17:50:54| >> :60:430:430:
France national football team
Friendlies 1
Oct 17, 2023 at 8pm UK
Stade de France
Scotland national football team

France
4 - 1
Scotland

Pavard (16', 24'), Mbappe (41' pen.), Coman (70')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Gilmour (11')
Patterson (36'), Cooper (40'), Taylor (84')

The Match

Match Report

Benjamin Pavard scores twice as France come from behind to beat Scotland 4-1 in a friendly at the Stade Pierre-Mauroy on Tuesday night.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's friendly clash between France and Scotland, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how France could line up for Tuesday's international friendly against Scotland.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Netherlands 1-2 France
Friday, October 13 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Spain 2-0 Scotland
Thursday, October 12 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Current Group A Standings P GD PTS
1Spain61615
2Scotland6915
3Norway7210
4Georgia6-47
5Cyprus7-230

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a France win with a probability of 70.5%. A draw had a probability of 18.3% and a win for Scotland had a probability of 11.25%.

The most likely scoreline for a France win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.75%) and 2-1 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.68%), while for a Scotland win it was 0-1 (3.98%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that France would win this match.

Result
FranceDrawScotland
70.5% (0.090999999999994 0.09) 18.26% (-0.137 -0.14) 11.25% (0.052 0.05)
Both teams to score 46.35% (0.622 0.62)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.92% (0.745 0.74)44.08% (-0.741 -0.74)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.53% (0.721 0.72)66.47% (-0.71600000000001 -0.72)
France Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.73% (0.235 0.23)11.27% (-0.23 -0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.14% (0.504 0.5)35.87% (-0.499 -0.5)
Scotland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.23% (0.566 0.57)47.77% (-0.561 -0.56)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.94% (0.416 0.42)83.06% (-0.41 -0.41)
Score Analysis
    France 70.49%
    Scotland 11.25%
    Draw 18.26%
FranceDrawScotland
2-0 @ 12.82% (-0.18 -0.18)
1-0 @ 11.75% (-0.27 -0.27)
2-1 @ 9.48% (0.025 0.03)
3-0 @ 9.34% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
3-1 @ 6.9% (0.082 0.08)
4-0 @ 5.1% (0.027 0.03)
4-1 @ 3.77% (0.08 0.08)
3-2 @ 2.55% (0.071 0.07)
5-0 @ 2.23% (0.032 0.03)
5-1 @ 1.64% (0.05 0.05)
4-2 @ 1.39% (0.051 0.05)
Other @ 3.54%
Total : 70.49%
1-1 @ 8.68% (-0.058000000000002 -0.06)
0-0 @ 5.38% (-0.175 -0.18)
2-2 @ 3.5% (0.065 0.07)
Other @ 0.69%
Total : 18.26%
0-1 @ 3.98% (-0.064 -0.06)
1-2 @ 3.21% (0.03 0.03)
0-2 @ 1.47%
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 11.25%

How you voted: France vs Scotland

France
74.5%
Draw
12.8%
Scotland
12.8%
47
Head to Head
Jun 4, 2016 8pm
International Friendlies
France
3-0
Scotland
Giroud (8', 35'), Koscielny (39')
rhs 2.0
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