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[monks data]
Curacao national football team
CONCACAF Gold Cup | Group Stage
Jul 19, 2021 at 3am UK
Stadion Ergilio Hato
Trinidad and Tobago national football team

Curacao
1 - 1
Trin. & Tob.

Gordillo (78')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Moore (12')
Fortune (69'), David (89')

Preview: Guatemala vs. Trinidad and Tobago - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Monday's CONCACAF Gold Cup clash between Curacao and Trinidad and Tobago, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Guatemala are looking to end their Gold Cup campaign on a winning note when they battle Trinidad and Tobago in their final group match on Sunday from Toyota Stadium in Dallas.

La Bicolor have lost both of their matches so far, while the Soca Warriors still have a slim chance to make the quarter-finals even though they lost their last game 2-0 to El Salvador.


Match preview

World Cup general image football

With only pride to play for in the final group game at the Gold Cup, Guatemala will hope they can salvage something out of a competition they were not supposed to be a part of after being eliminated in their qualifier by Guadeloupe.

In their second match of this competition, interim manager Rafael Loredo saw his side completely overwhelmed by a far superior Mexican team, who had 71% possession and outshot the Guatemalans 17-4.

The defeat officially knocked Los Chapines out of this tournament precisely two weeks after they were originally eliminated, but there will be no reprieve this time.

This team are winless in their last five matches at this competition, but a win in their final group stage match this weekend would mark their highest points total at the Gold Cup since earning four points in 2011 when they qualified for the quarter-finals.

In their two group games, the Guatemalans have yet to show they can compete with the top teams in this region, earning only 31% and 29% possession in two consecutive games, while their passing accuracy was 74% against Mexico, which is slightly better than in their opener which was clicking at 65%.

Trinidad and Tobago have not been much better than their opponents, but they still have something to play for on Sunday despite being dominated in back-to-back matches.

With one point from two matches, they will need many things to go their way to sneak into second place in Group A, a spot currently held by the reigning Gold Cup champions, Mexico.

In their match with El Salvador, they started slowly but created a couple of good chances in the second half after going behind 1-0, but in the end, they lacked precision, going scoreless for a second consecutive match.

Their offence needs to wake up this weekend if they want to progress beyond this stage of the competition, as they are three points back of second-place with a goal difference of -2, while the Mexicans are at +3 in that department and will need to lose if TNT are to progress.

Manager Angus Eve may have to throw his defensive-minded approach out the window if his team want to progress to the last eight for the first time since 2015.

Guatemala CONCACAF Gold Cup form:
  • L
  • L

Guatemala form (all competitions):
  • D
  • D
  • W
  • L
  • L
  • L

Trinidad and Tobago CONCACAF Gold Cup form:
  • D
  • L

Trinidad and Tobago form (all competitions):
  • D
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • D
  • L



Team News

Guatemala employed a back five in their last match, with Kervin Garcia and Moises Hernandez making their first appearances at this competition.

Striker Darwin Lom started in his first match of the competition while Luis Martinez came on as a substitute.

Midfielder Jose Morales made his second international appearance for his country, and Robin Betancourth made his first start at the tournament in midfield for the Guatemalans.

Angus Eve went with three at the back versus El Salvador, with Jelani Peters and Aubrey David starting for a second successive match, with full-back Mekeil Williams making his first appearance in the tournament.

Kevin Molino played the full 90 minutes in their second match after coming on as a substitute in their opening game.

Nicklas Frenderup replaced Marvin Phillip in goal on Wednesday, despite 36-year-old almost single-handedly getting his team a point against the Mexicans.

Guatemala possible starting lineup:
Navarro; Robles, Garcia, Pinto, Gordillo, Hernandez; Alvarez, Aparicio, Ruiz; Arreola, Lopez

Trinidad and Tobago possible starting lineup:
Phillip; J. Williams, Peters, Gonzales, David; Moore, Arcia, Fortune; Joseph, Molino, Telfer


SM words green background

We say: Guatemala 0-1 Trinidad and Tobago

Neither side have been awe-inspiring in this competition, but the Guatemalans have not shown any desire to attack in their two games thus far, and they have struggled to maintain possession for long stretches.

The Soca Warriors will be desperate for a win and while they have more offensive upside than their opponents, winning by multiple goals seems unlikely given they are playing a side who have kept eight clean sheets this year.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting under 3.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Under 3.5:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Curacao win with a probability of 52.58%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Trinidad and Tobago had a probability of 22.57%.

The most likely scoreline for a Curacao win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.87%) and 2-1 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.79%), while for a Trinidad and Tobago win it was 0-1 (7.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.


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Game History

How you voted: Curacao vs Trin. & Tob.

Curacao
2.7%
Draw
24.3%
Trinidad and Tobago
73.0%
37
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Tables header RHS

Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
1 United States USA32107
2 Jamaica Jamaica32107
3Trin. & Tob.31023
4 Saint Kitts and Nevis flag Saint Kitts30030

Group B

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Mexico Mexico32016
2 Qatar Qatar31114
3 Honduras flag Honduras31114
4Haiti31023

Group C

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Panama flag Panama32107
2 Costa Rica flag Costa Rica31114
3Martinique31023
4El Salvador30212

Group D

TeamPWDLPTS
1Guatemala32107
2 Canada Canada31205
3Guadeloupe31114
4 Cuba Cuba30030


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