MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 18:08:17| >> :60:338:338:
Ajax
Club Friendlies
Jul 18, 2024 at 5.30pm UK
Johan Cruijff Arena

Ajax
2 - 1
Al-Wasl

van den Boomen (19'), Rijkhoff (31')
Gaaei (90+2')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Caio (87')
Gimenez (45+3'), Jung (45+3'), Ali Almheiri (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's friendly clash between Ajax and Al-Wasl, including predictions and team news.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ajax

All competitions
Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Ajax 2-1 Rangers
Saturday, July 13 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 1

Al-Wasl

Last Game: Al-Wasl 1-5 Al Zawra'a
Tuesday, May 21 at 7pm in AFC Champions League

We said: Ajax 2-0 Al-Wasl

 Although Al-Wasl were a formidable side on the domestic front last season, it is difficult to back against Ajax in this contest, considering that the Dutch giants will likely name a strong lineup and already have plenty of minutes under their belts in pre-season. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 55.18%. A win for Al-Wasl had a probability of 25.02% and a draw had a probability of 19.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.76%) and 2-0 (5.79%). The likeliest Al-Wasl win was 1-2 (5.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.65%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Ajax in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Ajax.

Result
AjaxDrawAl-Wasl
55.18% (0.226 0.23) 19.8% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01) 25.02% (-0.221 -0.22)
Both teams to score 70.37% (-0.226 -0.23)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
73.52% (-0.18899999999999 -0.19)26.48% (0.184 0.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
53.18% (-0.238 -0.24)46.82% (0.235 0.23)
Ajax Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.01% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)9.99% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
67% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)33% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Al-Wasl Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.18% (-0.25 -0.25)21.83% (0.245 0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.96% (-0.377 -0.38)55.05% (0.374 0.37)
Score Analysis
    Ajax 55.18%
    Al-Wasl 25.02%
    Draw 19.8%
AjaxDrawAl-Wasl
2-1 @ 8.81% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
3-1 @ 6.76% (0.025 0.03)
2-0 @ 5.79% (0.065 0.07)
3-2 @ 5.15% (-0.018 -0.02)
1-0 @ 5.02% (0.058 0.06)
3-0 @ 4.44% (0.049 0.05)
4-1 @ 3.89% (0.014 0.01)
4-2 @ 2.96% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.56% (0.028 0.03)
5-1 @ 1.79% (0.006 0.01)
4-3 @ 1.5% (-0.017 -0.02)
5-2 @ 1.37% (-0.006 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.18% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 3.97%
Total : 55.18%
1-1 @ 7.65% (0.031 0.03)
2-2 @ 6.7% (-0.023000000000001 -0.02)
3-3 @ 2.61% (-0.029 -0.03)
0-0 @ 2.18% (0.025 0.03)
Other @ 0.66%
Total : 19.8%
1-2 @ 5.82% (-0.019 -0.02)
2-3 @ 3.4% (-0.037 -0.04)
0-1 @ 3.32% (0.014 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.95% (-0.032 -0.03)
0-2 @ 2.53% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.29% (-0.024 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.28% (-0.014 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.12% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-4 @ 0.99% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 25.02%

How you voted: Ajax vs Al-Wasl

Ajax
69.2%
Draw
30.8%
Al-Wasl
0.0%
13
rhs 2.0
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