We said: Luxembourg 1-2 Slovakia
Slovakia will have been pleased with their performance against Portugal last time out, and if they can tighten up defensively, Calzona's side should win here. Luxembourg deserve a lot of respect for their performances in the section, but we are backing an away success on Monday night.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Slovakia win with a probability of 56.79%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Luxembourg had a probability of 20.82%.
The most likely scoreline for a Slovakia win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.91%) and 0-2 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.54%), while for a Luxembourg win it was 1-0 (5.61%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Slovakia in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Slovakia.
-0.06) 
0.07) 
