MX23RW : Thursday, November 7 14:36:58| >> :600:2143092:2143092:
Luxembourg national football team
Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage
Mar 26, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
 
Portugal national football team

Luxembourg
0 - 6
Portugal


Thill (32'), da Graca (37'), Martins Pereira (74'), Barreiro (82')
FT(HT: 0-4)
Ronaldo (9', 31'), Felix (15'), Silva (18'), Otavio (77'), Leao (88')
Ronaldo (57')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Euro Champ Qualifying clash between Luxembourg and Portugal, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Portugal could line up for Sunday's Euro 2024 qualifying Group J clash with Luxembourg.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Slovakia 0-0 Luxembourg
Thursday, March 23 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
All competitions
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Portugal 4-0 Liechtenstein
Thursday, March 23 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

We said: Luxembourg 0-2 Portugal

Although Luxembourg have clearly dramatically improved during Holtz's lengthy spell in charge of his home nation, they are still someway short of being able to consistently challenge against teams of Portugal's calibre. Martinez's secondary aim from the trip to Luxembourg City may be keeping another clean sheet, and we can envisage a tighter victory than many may expect as a result. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portugal win with a probability of 78.51%. A draw had a probability of 15.2% and a win for Luxembourg had a probability of 6.33%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portugal win was 0-2 with a probability of 16.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (13.86%) and 0-3 (12.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.91%), while for a Luxembourg win it was 1-0 (2.98%). The actual scoreline of 0-6 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Portugal would win this match.

Result
LuxembourgDrawPortugal
6.33% (-0.08 -0.08) 15.17% (0.02 0.02) 78.51% (0.064999999999998 0.06)
Both teams to score 35.39% (-0.483 -0.48)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.45% (-0.402 -0.4)46.56% (0.408 0.41)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.17% (-0.379 -0.38)68.83% (0.384 0.38)
Luxembourg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
39.26% (-0.497 -0.5)60.74% (0.503 0.5)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
8.98% (-0.2499 -0.25)91.03% (0.255 0.25)
Portugal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.15% (-0.081999999999994 -0.08)9.85% (0.0869 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
67.33% (-0.197 -0.2)32.68% (0.202 0.2)
Score Analysis
    Luxembourg 6.33%
    Portugal 78.49%
    Draw 15.17%
LuxembourgDrawPortugal
1-0 @ 2.98% (0.0020000000000002 0)
2-1 @ 1.72% (-0.034 -0.03)
Other @ 1.62%
Total : 6.33%
1-1 @ 6.91% (-0.022 -0.02)
0-0 @ 5.98% (0.102 0.1)
2-2 @ 2% (-0.047 -0.05)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 15.17%
0-2 @ 16.07% (0.16 0.16)
0-1 @ 13.86% (0.18 0.18)
0-3 @ 12.41% (0.07 0.07)
1-2 @ 8.01% (-0.056000000000001 -0.06)
0-4 @ 7.2% (0.014 0.01)
1-3 @ 6.19% (-0.068 -0.07)
1-4 @ 3.59% (-0.052 -0.05)
0-5 @ 3.34% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
1-5 @ 1.66% (-0.031 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.54% (-0.043 -0.04)
0-6 @ 1.29% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 3.34%
Total : 78.49%

How you voted: Luxembourg vs Portugal

Luxembourg
6.0%
Draw
5.3%
Portugal
88.7%
133
Head to Head
Oct 12, 2021 7.45pm
Group A
Portugal
5-0
Luxembourg
Ronaldo (8' pen., 13' pen., 87'), Fernandes (17'), Palhinha (69')
Mendes (22'), Cancelo (84')
Mar 30, 2021 7.45pm
Group A
Luxembourg
1-3
Portugal
Rodrigues (30')
Chanot (20')
Chanot (87')
Jota (45+2'), Ronaldo (51'), Palhinha (80')
Jota (39'), Dias (70'), Sanches (83')
Nov 17, 2019 2pm
Group B
Luxembourg
0-2
Portugal

Deville (7'), Chanot (16')
Fernandes (39'), Ronaldo (86')
Silva (71')
Oct 11, 2019 7.45pm
Oct 15, 2013 6pm
Portugal
3-0
Luxembourg
Varela (30'), Nani (37'), Postiga (78')
Josue (50'), Coentrao (64')

Philipps (42'), Gerson (70'), Da Mota Alves (81')
Joachim (28')
rhs 2.0
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