We said: Czech Republic 2-0 Moldova
Having battled back to earn a draw with Albania, Moldova deserve respect ahead of this contest as they bid to make the breakthrough on the international scene. However, we feel that Czech Republic's superior quality and experience will prove decisive, a goal in each half earning a professional win.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Czech Republic win with a probability of 69.15%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Moldova had a probability of 11.48%.
The most likely scoreline for a Czech Republic win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.16%) and 2-1 (9.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.13%), while for a Moldova win it was 0-1 (4.45%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Czech Republic would win this match.