MX23RW : Friday, November 22 07:08:59| >> :600:445645:445645:
Europa League | Third Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Aug 10, 2023 at 8pm UK
Stadion Bijeli Brijeg

Zrinjski Mostar
6 - 2
Breidablik

Kis (2', 30'), Malekinusic (21', 40'), Bilbija (33'), Ivancic (55')
Jakovljevic (69'), Senic (87')
FT(HT: 5-0)
Logi Ludviksson (64'), Eyjolfsson (74')
Karl Einarsson (25')
Karl Einarsson (31')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Zrinjski Mostar and Breidablik, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Slovan Bratislava 2-2 Zrinjski Mostar
Tuesday, August 1 at 7.30pm in Champions League
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Last Game: Copenhagen 6-3 Breidablik
Wednesday, August 2 at 7pm in Champions League
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We said: Zrinjski Mostar 1-1 Breidablik

Given the nerves that will be on show for this fixture, we expect a tense first leg. Zrinjski are in the better form when taking everything into consideration, yet we feel that the visitors will do enough to earn a share of the spoils. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zrinjski Mostar win with a probability of 56.98%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Breidablik had a probability of 21.27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Zrinjski Mostar win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.02%) and 2-0 (8.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.08%), while for a Breidablik win it was 1-2 (5.63%). The actual scoreline of 6-2 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Zrinjski Mostar would win this match.

Result
Zrinjski MostarDrawBreidablik
56.98% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05) 21.76% (0.02 0.02) 21.27% (0.029 0.03)
Both teams to score 57.84% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.44% (-0.055 -0.05)40.56% (0.055 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.06% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06)62.94% (0.057000000000002 0.06)
Zrinjski Mostar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.94% (-0.034000000000006 -0.03)14.06% (0.034000000000001 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.36% (-0.067 -0.07)41.64% (0.067 0.07)
Breidablik Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.3% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)32.7% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.74% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)69.25% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Score Analysis
    Zrinjski Mostar 56.98%
    Breidablik 21.27%
    Draw 21.75%
Zrinjski MostarDrawBreidablik
2-1 @ 9.89%
1-0 @ 9.02% (0.012 0.01)
2-0 @ 8.85%
3-1 @ 6.47% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-0 @ 5.79% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.62% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-1 @ 3.17% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.84% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.77% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.25% (-0.004 -0)
5-0 @ 1.11% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 3.21%
Total : 56.98%
1-1 @ 10.08% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.53% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-0 @ 4.6% (0.011 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.35% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 21.75%
1-2 @ 5.63% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-1 @ 5.14% (0.013 0.01)
0-2 @ 2.87% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.1% (0.0020000000000002 0)
2-3 @ 2.06% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 1.07% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 21.27%

How you voted: Loser Match 6 vs Loser Match 5

Loser Match 6
42.9%
Draw
28.6%
Loser Match 5
28.6%
7
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