We said: Breidablik 0-1 Copenhagen
Breidablik will be reminiscing about their victory against Rosenborg at this stage 12 years ago, but we expect Copenhagen to keep them at arm's length for the majority of the contest.
However, the Danes have not been great travellers in this competition down the years, and they may have to wait until the reverse leg to completely wrap up this tie.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Copenhagen win with a probability of 54.44%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Breidablik had a probability of 22.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a Copenhagen win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.83%) and 0-2 (9.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.83%), while for a Breidablik win it was 1-0 (5.97%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Copenhagen would win this match.