Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Feyenoord win with a probability of 35.78%. A win for CSKA Moscow had a probability of 35.71% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Feyenoord win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.58%) and 2-0 (6.66%). The likeliest CSKA Moscow win was 0-1 (11.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.29%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Feyenoord would win this match.
