MX23RW : Sunday, December 22 09:14:20| >> :600:153472:153472:
Conference League | Knockout Round Playoffs | 1st Leg
Feb 15, 2024 at 5.45pm UK
Merkur Arena
Slovan Bratislava

Sturm Graz
4 - 1
Slovan Bratislava

Biereth (4'), Gorenc Stankovic (27'), Kiteishvili (64' pen.), Camara (90+1')
Gazibegovic (77')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Rodrigues (8')
Zmrhal (44'), Rodrigues (77')
j. Weiss (78'), Weiss (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa Conference League clash between Sturm Graz and Slovan Bratislava, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Salzburg 1-1 Sturm Graz
Friday, February 9 at 7.30pm in Austrian Bundesliga
Last Game: Zilina 0-4 Slovan Bratislava
Friday, February 9 at 4.30pm in Slovak First Football League

We said: Sturm Graz 1-2 Slovan Bratislava

Slovan Bratislava are comfortable at the top of their domestic league, which means they can concentrate in Europe. The Sky Blues have also been decent on the road in Europe this season, with two victories in three away games. The hosts failed to win any of their home matches in the Europa league this season, and we expect this trend to continue on Thursday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sturm Graz win with a probability of 52.09%. A win for Slovan Bratislava had a probability of 24.96% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sturm Graz win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.9%) and 2-0 (8.12%). The likeliest Slovan Bratislava win was 1-2 (6.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.64%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sturm Graz would win this match.

Result
Sturm GrazDrawSlovan Bratislava
52.09% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02) 22.95% (0.0080000000000027 0.01) 24.96% (0.017999999999997 0.02)
Both teams to score 58.51%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.14% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)41.86% (0.012 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.74% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)64.26% (0.012999999999991 0.01)
Sturm Graz Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.87% (-0.01100000000001 -0.01)16.13% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.44% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)45.56% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Slovan Bratislava Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.77% (0.010999999999996 0.01)30.23% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.6% (0.011000000000003 0.01)66.4% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Sturm Graz 52.09%
    Slovan Bratislava 24.96%
    Draw 22.94%
Sturm GrazDrawSlovan Bratislava
2-1 @ 9.71% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
1-0 @ 8.9% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 8.12% (-0.0029999999999983 -0)
3-1 @ 5.91% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 4.94% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-2 @ 3.53% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-1 @ 2.69% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 2.25% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 1.61% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
5-1 @ 0.98% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 3.46%
Total : 52.09%
1-1 @ 10.64%
2-2 @ 5.81% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-0 @ 4.88% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-3 @ 1.41%
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 22.94%
1-2 @ 6.37% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-1 @ 5.83% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-2 @ 3.49% (0.0029999999999997 0)
1-3 @ 2.54% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-3 @ 2.32%
0-3 @ 1.39% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 24.96%

How you voted: Sturm Graz vs Slovan Bratislava

Sturm Graz
40.0%
Draw
17.1%
Slovan Bratislava
42.9%
70
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
6pm
Lions
@
Bears
6pm
Browns
@
Bengals
6pm
Patriots
@
Bills
6pm
Titans
@
Colts
6pm
Giants
@
Falcons
6pm
Rams
@
Jets
6pm
Cardinals
@
Panthers
6pm
Eagles
@
Washington
9.05pm
Vikings
@
Seahawks
9.25pm
49ers
@
Dolphins
9.25pm
Jags
@
Raiders
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool15113131131836
2Chelsea16104237191834
3Arsenal1796234161833
4Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest179442319431
5Aston Villa178452626028
6Manchester CityMan City178362925427
7Newcastle UnitedNewcastle177552721626
8Bournemouth167452421325
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton176742726125
10Fulham166642422224
11Tottenham HotspurSpurs1672736191723
12Brentford177283232023
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd166462119222
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham175572230-820
15Crystal Palace173771826-816
16Everton153661421-715
17Leicester CityLeicester163582134-1314
18Ipswich TownIpswich172691632-1612
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1623112440-169
20Southampton1612131136-255


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!