MX23RW : Monday, December 23 00:59:41| >> :600:210194:210194:
Slovan Bratislava
Conference League | Knockout Round Playoffs | 2nd Leg
Feb 22, 2024 at 8pm UK
Stadion Pasienky

Slovan Bratislava
0 - 1
Sturm Graz


Strelec (45+4'), Kashia (54')
Blackman (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Biereth (52')
Lavalee (62')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa Conference League clash between Slovan Bratislava and Sturm Graz, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Slovan Bratislava 4-1 Zlate Moravce
Sunday, February 18 at 2pm in Slovak First Football League

We said: Slovan Bratislava 2-3 Sturm Graz (Sturm Graz win 7-3 on aggregate)

Slovan Bratislava will certainly come out all guns blazing in search of goals to turn the tie around on Thursday, but Sturm Graz have the stronger squad and should take advantage. We fancy Christian Ilzer's side to prevail again on the night and progress to the final 16 with a dominant aggregate triumph. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Slovan Bratislava win with a probability of 37.55%. A win for Sturm Graz had a probability of 37.5% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Slovan Bratislava win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.17%) and 2-0 (5.85%). The likeliest Sturm Graz win was 1-2 (8.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.69%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Sturm Graz would win this match.

Result
Slovan BratislavaDrawSturm Graz
37.55% (0.119 0.12) 24.95% (0.0070000000000014 0.01) 37.5% (-0.127 -0.13)
Both teams to score 57.94% (-0.029000000000003 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.57% (-0.035000000000004 -0.04)45.42% (0.035000000000004 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.24% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)67.76% (0.034000000000006 0.03)
Slovan Bratislava Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.13% (0.045999999999992 0.05)23.86% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.94% (0.067 0.07)58.06% (-0.069000000000003 -0.07)
Sturm Graz Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.1% (-0.085000000000008 -0.09)23.89% (0.084 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.9% (-0.121 -0.12)58.1% (0.119 0.12)
Score Analysis
    Slovan Bratislava 37.55%
    Sturm Graz 37.5%
    Draw 24.95%
Slovan BratislavaDrawSturm Graz
2-1 @ 8.38% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
1-0 @ 8.17% (0.023 0.02)
2-0 @ 5.85% (0.025 0.03)
3-1 @ 4% (0.012 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.86% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-0 @ 2.8% (0.016 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.43% (0.006 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.03% (0.002 0)
4-0 @ 1% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 2.03%
Total : 37.55%
1-1 @ 11.69%
2-2 @ 6% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-0 @ 5.7% (0.008 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.37% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.95%
1-2 @ 8.37% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-1 @ 8.16% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-2 @ 5.84% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-3 @ 4% (-0.018 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.86% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.79% (-0.015 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.43% (-0.01 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.02% (-0.006 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 2.02%
Total : 37.5%

How you voted: Slovan Bratislava vs Sturm Graz

Slovan Bratislava
32.7%
Draw
16.3%
Sturm Graz
51.0%
49
Head to Head
Feb 15, 2024 5.45pm
Knockout Round Playoffs 1st Leg
Sturm Graz
4-1
Slovan Bratislava
Biereth (4'), Gorenc Stankovic (27'), Kiteishvili (64' pen.), Camara (90+1')
Gazibegovic (77')
Rodrigues (8')
Zmrhal (44'), Rodrigues (77')
j. Weiss (78'), Weiss (78')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool16123137162139
2Chelsea17105237191835
3Arsenal1796234161833
4Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest179442319431
5Bournemouth178452721628
6Aston Villa178452626028
7Manchester CityMan City178362925427
8Newcastle UnitedNewcastle177552721626
9Fulham176742422225
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton176742726125
11Tottenham HotspurSpurs1772839251423
12Brentford177283232023
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd176472122-122
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham175572230-820
15Everton163761421-716
16Crystal Palace173771826-816
17Leicester CityLeicester173592137-1614
18Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1733112740-1312
19Ipswich TownIpswich172691632-1612
20Southampton1713131136-256


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!