MX23RW : Tuesday, June 18 12:20:56| >> :600:1652051:1652051:
Slovan Bratislava
Europa Conference League | Knockout Round Playoffs | 2nd Leg
Feb 22, 2024 at 8pm UK
Stadion Pasienky

Slovan Bratislava
0 - 1
Sturm Graz


Strelec (45+4'), Kashia (54')
Blackman (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Biereth (52')
Lavalee (62')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa Conference League clash between Slovan Bratislava and Sturm Graz, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Slovan Bratislava 4-1 Zlate Moravce
Sunday, February 18 at 2pm in Slovak First Football League

We said: Slovan Bratislava 2-3 Sturm Graz (Sturm Graz win 7-3 on aggregate)

Slovan Bratislava will certainly come out all guns blazing in search of goals to turn the tie around on Thursday, but Sturm Graz have the stronger squad and should take advantage. We fancy Christian Ilzer's side to prevail again on the night and progress to the final 16 with a dominant aggregate triumph. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Slovan Bratislava win with a probability of 37.55%. A win for Sturm Graz had a probability of 37.5% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Slovan Bratislava win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.17%) and 2-0 (5.85%). The likeliest Sturm Graz win was 1-2 (8.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.69%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Sturm Graz would win this match.

Result
Slovan BratislavaDrawSturm Graz
37.55% (0.119 0.12) 24.95% (0.0070000000000014 0.01) 37.5% (-0.127 -0.13)
Both teams to score 57.94% (-0.029000000000003 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.57% (-0.035000000000004 -0.04)45.42% (0.035000000000004 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.24% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)67.76% (0.034000000000006 0.03)
Slovan Bratislava Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.13% (0.045999999999992 0.05)23.86% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.94% (0.067 0.07)58.06% (-0.069000000000003 -0.07)
Sturm Graz Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.1% (-0.085000000000008 -0.09)23.89% (0.084 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.9% (-0.121 -0.12)58.1% (0.119 0.12)
Score Analysis
    Slovan Bratislava 37.55%
    Sturm Graz 37.5%
    Draw 24.95%
Slovan BratislavaDrawSturm Graz
2-1 @ 8.38% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
1-0 @ 8.17% (0.023 0.02)
2-0 @ 5.85% (0.025 0.03)
3-1 @ 4% (0.012 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.86% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-0 @ 2.8% (0.016 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.43% (0.006 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.03% (0.002 0)
4-0 @ 1% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 2.03%
Total : 37.55%
1-1 @ 11.69%
2-2 @ 6% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-0 @ 5.7% (0.008 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.37% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.95%
1-2 @ 8.37% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-1 @ 8.16% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-2 @ 5.84% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-3 @ 4% (-0.018 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.86% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.79% (-0.015 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.43% (-0.01 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.02% (-0.006 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 2.02%
Total : 37.5%

How you voted: Slovan Bratislava vs Sturm Graz

Slovan Bratislava
32.7%
Draw
16.3%
Sturm Graz
51.0%
49
Head to Head
Feb 15, 2024 5.45pm
Knockout Round Playoffs 1st Leg
Sturm Graz
4-1
Slovan Bratislava
Biereth (4'), Gorenc Stankovic (27'), Kiteishvili (64' pen.), Camara (90+1')
Gazibegovic (77')
Rodrigues (8')
Zmrhal (44'), Rodrigues (77')
j. Weiss (78'), Weiss (78')
rhs 2.0
Euro 2024 fixtures header
Tuesday, June 18
 
5pm
Wednesday, June 19
 
2pm
 
5pm
Thursday, June 20
 
2pm
 
5pm
 
8pm
Group Stage
Spain
vs.
Italy
Friday, June 21
 
2pm
 
5pm
 
8pm
Saturday, June 22
 
5pm
 
8pm
Sunday, June 23
 
8pm
 
8pm
Monday, June 24
 
8pm
 
8pm
Tuesday, June 25
 
5pm
 
5pm
 
8pm
 
8pm
Wednesday, June 26
 
5pm
 
5pm
 
8pm
 
8pm
Saturday, June 29
Sunday, June 30
Monday, July 1
Tuesday, July 2
Friday, July 5
Saturday, July 6
Tuesday, July 9
Wednesday, July 10
Sunday, July 14
Tables header RHS

Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Germany Germany11003
2 Switzerland Switzerland11003
3 Hungary Hungary10010
4 Scotland flag Scotland10010

Group B

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Spain Spain11003
2 Italy Italy11003
3 Albania national flag Albania10010
4 Croatia Croatia10010

Group C

TeamPWDLPTS
1 England flag England11003
2 Denmark Denmark10101
3 Slovenia Slovenia10101
4 Serbia Serbia10010

Group D

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Netherlands Netherlands11003
2 France France11003
3 Poland Poland10010
4 Austria Austria10010

Group E

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Romania Romania11003
2 Slovakia Slovakia11003
3 Belgium Belgium10010
4 Ukraine Ukraine10010

Group F

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Czech Republic Czech Republic00000
2 Georgia Georgia00000
3 Portugal Portugal00000
4 Turkey Turkey00000


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