After a win in Poland on matchday two, Sturm will be big favourites to win here to keep their hopes alive heading into matchday six. Rakow have unsurprisingly struggled as one of the competition debutants this season, and with two huge league games on the horizon, focus may soon switch to domestic matters only. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sturm Graz win with a probability of 55.49%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Rakow Czestochowa had a probability of 22.05%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sturm Graz win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.54%) and 2-0 (8.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.51%), while for a Rakow Czestochowa win it was 1-2 (5.79%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.

Result
Sturm Graz	Draw	Rakow Czestochowa
55.49% ( -0.13)	22.46% ( 0.02)	22.05% ( 0.11)

Both teams to score 56.56% (

0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.22% (

0.05)

42.77% (

-0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.82% (

0.05)

65.18% (

-0.05)

Sturm Graz Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.7% (

-0.03)

15.29% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.99% (

-0.05)

44% (

0.05)

Rakow Czestochowa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.77% (

0.13)

33.23% (

-0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.16% (

0.15)

69.84% (

-0.14)

Score Analysis

Sturm Graz 55.49%

Rakow Czestochowa 22.05%

Draw 22.45%

Sturm Graz	Draw	Rakow Czestochowa
2-1 @ 9.87% ( -0) 1-0 @ 9.54% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 8.96% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 6.18% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 5.61% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 3.4% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.9% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 2.63% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.6% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.09% ( -0) 5-0 @ 0.99% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.72% Total : 55.49%	1-1 @ 10.51% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.44% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 5.08% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.25% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.18% Total : 22.45%	1-2 @ 5.79% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 5.6% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 3.08% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 2.13% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.13% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.32% Total : 22.05%