Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Willem II win with a probability of 47.81%. A win for Emmen had a probability of 26.99% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Willem II win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.36%) and 2-0 (8.44%). The likeliest Emmen win was 0-1 (7.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Willem II would win this match.
