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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Feyenoord win with a probability of 79.08%. A draw had a probability of 13.6% and a win for RKC Waalwijk had a probability of 7.33%.
The most likely scoreline for a Feyenoord win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.92%) and 1-0 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.43%), while for a RKC Waalwijk win it was 0-1 (2.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Feyenoord would win this match.
Result | ||
Feyenoord | Draw | RKC Waalwijk |
79.08% ( -3.81) | 13.58% ( 2.23) | 7.33% ( 1.58) |
Both teams to score 46.74% ( 0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
65.34% ( -4.79) | 34.66% ( 4.78) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
43.39% ( -5.57) | 56.6% ( 5.57) |
Feyenoord Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
93.05% ( -1.68) | 6.95% ( 1.68) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
74.52% ( -4.7) | 25.47% ( 4.7) |
RKC Waalwijk Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
50.23% ( 0.93) | 49.76% ( -0.94) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
15.5% ( 0.64) | 84.49% ( -0.65) |
Score Analysis |
Feyenoord | Draw | RKC Waalwijk |
2-0 @ 12.29% ( 0.72) 3-0 @ 10.92% ( -0.43) 1-0 @ 9.22% ( 1.36) 2-1 @ 8.58% ( 0.72) 3-1 @ 7.63% ( -0.08) 4-0 @ 7.29% ( -1.07) 4-1 @ 5.09% ( -0.59) 5-0 @ 3.89% ( -1.03) 5-1 @ 2.71% ( -0.63) 3-2 @ 2.66% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 1.77% ( -0.15) 6-0 @ 1.73% ( -0.69) 6-1 @ 1.21% ( -0.43) 5-2 @ 0.95% ( -0.19) Other @ 3.15% Total : 79.07% | 1-1 @ 6.43% ( 1.09) 0-0 @ 3.46% ( 0.79) 2-2 @ 2.99% ( 0.32) Other @ 0.7% Total : 13.58% | 0-1 @ 2.41% ( 0.6) 1-2 @ 2.25% ( 0.43) Other @ 2.68% Total : 7.34% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 13 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 45 | 9 | 36 | 36 |
2 | Feyenoord | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 31 | 13 | 18 | 28 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 11 | 9 | 28 |
4 | Ajax | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 26 |
5 | FC Twente | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 25 |
6 | Go Ahead Eagles | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 18 |
7 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 17 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 17 |
9 | NECNijmegen | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 16 |
10 | Willem II | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 15 |
11 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 12 | 5 | 0 | 7 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 15 |
12 | Heerenveen | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 13 | 26 | -13 | 14 |
13 | Heracles | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 25 | -11 | 13 |
14 | PEC Zwolle | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 12 |
15 | Groningen | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 24 | -12 | 12 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 11 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 13 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 6 | 30 | -24 | 6 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 13 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 12 | 33 | -21 | 5 |
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