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Feyenoord
KNVB Beker | Quarter-Finals
Feb 7, 2024 at 8pm UK
Stadion Feijenoord
AZ Alkmaar

Feyenoord
2 - 0
AZ

Geertruida (44'), Nieuwkoop (86')
Gimenez (52')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Clasie (20'), Belic (54')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's KNVB Beker clash between Feyenoord and AZ Alkmaar, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: AZ 0-1 Feyenoord
Sunday, February 4 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: AZ 0-1 Feyenoord
Sunday, February 4 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

We said: Feyenoord 3-1 AZ Alkmaar

Although AZ are managing to cling onto fourth spot in the league, their recent form has been poor. With that in mind, we can only predict a convincing home victory, even if Slot does decide to make a couple of alterations. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Feyenoord win with a probability of 52.05%. A win for AZ Alkmaar had a probability of 25.23% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Feyenoord win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.52%) and 2-0 (7.89%). The likeliest AZ Alkmaar win was 1-2 (6.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Feyenoord would win this match.

Result
FeyenoordDrawAZ Alkmaar
52.05% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04) 22.72% (0.071999999999999 0.07) 25.23% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
Both teams to score 59.59% (-0.29 -0.29)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.44% (-0.368 -0.37)40.56% (0.369 0.37)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.06% (-0.379 -0.38)62.94% (0.38 0.38)
Feyenoord Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.32% (-0.14400000000001 -0.14)15.68% (0.145 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.27% (-0.269 -0.27)44.73% (0.271 0.27)
AZ Alkmaar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.67% (-0.223 -0.22)29.33% (0.224 0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.7% (-0.276 -0.28)65.3% (0.276 0.28)
Score Analysis
    Feyenoord 52.05%
    AZ Alkmaar 25.23%
    Draw 22.72%
FeyenoordDrawAZ Alkmaar
2-1 @ 9.68% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
1-0 @ 8.52% (0.102 0.1)
2-0 @ 7.89% (0.055 0.05)
3-1 @ 5.98% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
3-0 @ 4.88% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.67% (-0.038 -0.04)
4-1 @ 2.77% (-0.026 -0.03)
4-0 @ 2.26% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.7% (-0.026 -0.03)
5-1 @ 1.03% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 3.67%
Total : 52.05%
1-1 @ 10.45% (0.059999999999999 0.06)
2-2 @ 5.94% (-0.033 -0.03)
0-0 @ 4.6% (0.077 0.08)
3-3 @ 1.5% (-0.025 -0.02)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 22.72%
1-2 @ 6.41% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-1 @ 5.64% (0.06 0.06)
0-2 @ 3.46% (0.015 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.62% (-0.018 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.43% (-0.029 -0.03)
0-3 @ 1.41% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.26%
Total : 25.23%

How you voted: Feyenoord vs AZ

Feyenoord
90.7%
Draw
3.7%
AZ Alkmaar
5.6%
54
Head to Head
Feb 4, 2024 1.30pm
Gameweek 20
AZ
0-1
Feyenoord

Clasie (7'), de Wit (37')
Wieffer (6')
Gimenez (45+3')
Nov 12, 2023 3.45pm
Gameweek 12
Feyenoord
1-0
AZ
Maduro (24')
Maduro (44'), Zerrouki (86')
Feb 18, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 22
Feyenoord
2-1
AZ
Dilrosun (17' og.)
Oct 16, 2022 3.45pm
Gameweek 10
AZ
1-3
Feyenoord
Odgaard (26')
Kokcu (31' pen.), Szymanski (56'), Danilo (82')
Feb 27, 2022 11.15am
Gameweek 21
AZ
2-1
Feyenoord
Karlsson (19' pen., 30' pen.)
Martins Indi (26'), de Wit (38'), Clasie (77'), Wijndal (90+5'), Karlsson (90+6')
Geertruida (52')
Hendrix (18'), Kokcu (26'), Malacia (28')
rhs 2.0
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