Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Feyenoord win with a probability of 63.37%. A draw had a probability of 19.5% and a win for Heerenveen had a probability of 17.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a Feyenoord win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.19%) and 1-0 (8.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.86%), while for a Heerenveen win it was 1-2 (4.74%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Feyenoord would win this match.