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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Willem II win with a probability of 45.9%. A win for ADO Den Haag had a probability of 29.05% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Willem II win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.26%) and 0-2 (7.78%). The likeliest ADO Den Haag win was 1-0 (7.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Willem II would win this match.
Result | ||
ADO Den Haag | Draw | Willem II |
29.05% | 25.05% | 45.9% |
Both teams to score 54.94% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.84% | 48.16% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.68% | 70.32% |
ADO Den Haag Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.56% | 30.44% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.35% | 66.65% |
Willem II Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.98% | 21.02% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.2% | 53.8% |
Score Analysis |
ADO Den Haag | Draw | Willem II |
1-0 @ 7.61% 2-1 @ 7.06% 2-0 @ 4.53% 3-1 @ 2.8% 3-2 @ 2.18% 3-0 @ 1.79% Other @ 3.08% Total : 29.05% | 1-1 @ 11.86% 0-0 @ 6.4% 2-2 @ 5.51% 3-3 @ 1.14% Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.04% | 0-1 @ 9.98% 1-2 @ 9.26% 0-2 @ 7.78% 1-3 @ 4.81% 0-3 @ 4.05% 2-3 @ 2.86% 1-4 @ 1.88% 0-4 @ 1.58% 2-4 @ 1.12% Other @ 2.59% Total : 45.9% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 17 | 15 | 0 | 2 | 59 | 13 | 46 | 45 |
2 | Ajax | 17 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 37 | 16 | 21 | 39 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 34 | 28 | 6 | 36 |
4 | Feyenoord | 17 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 40 | 21 | 19 | 35 |
5 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 17 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 31 | 17 | 14 | 32 |
6 | FC Twente | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 32 | 21 | 11 | 31 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 30 | 27 | 3 | 25 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 25 | 25 | 0 | 25 |
9 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 17 | 7 | 1 | 9 | 19 | 27 | -8 | 22 |
10 | Heerenveen | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 31 | -14 | 21 |
11 | Willem II | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 19 |
12 | NECNijmegen | 16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 22 | 20 | 2 | 17 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 17 |
14 | Groningen | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 16 |
15 | Heracles | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 33 | -15 | 14 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 12 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 17 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 37 | -27 | 9 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 17 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 18 | 41 | -23 | 7 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |