Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Start win with a probability of 50.25%. A win for Aalesund had a probability of 25.52% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Start win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.6%) and 2-0 (8.55%). The likeliest Aalesund win was 0-1 (6.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Start in this match.