Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SK Brann win with a probability of 40.11%. A win for Sarpsborg 08 had a probability of 34% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a SK Brann win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.63%) and 0-2 (6.79%). The likeliest Sarpsborg 08 win was 1-0 (8.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.29%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for SK Brann in this match.