Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bodo/Glimt win with a probability of 65.92%. A draw had a probability of 20% and a win for Sarpsborg 08 had a probability of 14.03%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bodo/Glimt win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.6%) and 2-1 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.53%), while for a Sarpsborg 08 win it was 0-1 (4.65%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bodo/Glimt would win this match.