MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 13:39:01| >> :600:1092805:1092805:
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EFL Cup | Round of 16
Dec 20, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Molineux Stadium
Gillingham

Wolves
2 - 0
Gillingham

Jimenez (77' pen.), Ait-Nouri (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Cup clash between Wolverhampton Wanderers and Gillingham, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cadiz 3-4 Wolves
Wednesday, December 14 at 11am in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Gillingham 3-2 Dag & Red
Thursday, December 8 at 7.15pm in FA Cup

We said: Wolverhampton Wanderers 2-1 Gillingham

Despite the gulf in class between these two teams, do not necessarily expect a one-sided contest. However, while Wolves may require some time to get up to speed under Lopetegui, we still expect the hosts to edge this contest by a narrow scoreline. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wolverhampton Wanderers win with a probability of 59.17%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Gillingham had a probability of 17.26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wolverhampton Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.84%) and 2-1 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.08%), while for a Gillingham win it was 0-1 (6.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Wolverhampton Wanderers would win this match.

Result
Wolverhampton WanderersDrawGillingham
59.17% (0.432 0.43) 23.57% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02) 17.26% (-0.407 -0.41)
Both teams to score 45.38% (-0.675 -0.67)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.26% (-0.499 -0.5)53.75% (0.508 0.51)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.78% (-0.422 -0.42)75.23% (0.42999999999999 0.43)
Wolverhampton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.1% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)17.9% (0.031000000000002 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.3% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)48.7% (0.056000000000004 0.06)
Gillingham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.27% (-0.802 -0.8)44.73% (0.809 0.81)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.29% (-0.651 -0.65)80.71% (0.65899999999999 0.66)
Score Analysis
    Wolverhampton Wanderers 59.16%
    Gillingham 17.26%
    Draw 23.57%
Wolverhampton WanderersDrawGillingham
1-0 @ 13.77% (0.26 0.26)
2-0 @ 11.84% (0.21 0.21)
2-1 @ 9.53% (-0.042 -0.04)
3-0 @ 6.79% (0.114 0.11)
3-1 @ 5.47% (-0.03 -0.03)
4-0 @ 2.92% (0.047 0.05)
4-1 @ 2.35% (-0.015 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.2% (-0.062 -0.06)
5-0 @ 1.01% (0.015 0.01)
4-2 @ 0.95% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 59.16%
1-1 @ 11.08% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
0-0 @ 8.01% (0.158 0.16)
2-2 @ 3.84% (-0.104 -0.1)
Other @ 0.64%
Total : 23.57%
0-1 @ 6.44% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-2 @ 4.46% (-0.116 -0.12)
0-2 @ 2.59% (-0.065 -0.07)
1-3 @ 1.2% (-0.059 -0.06)
2-3 @ 1.03% (-0.051 -0.05)
Other @ 1.54%
Total : 17.26%

How you voted: Wolves vs Gillingham

Wolverhampton Wanderers
74.4%
Draw
11.6%
Gillingham
14.0%
86
Head to Head
Aug 10, 2013 3pm
Wolves
4-0
Gillingham
Griffiths (4', 68' pen.), Evans (24'), Sako (30')
Feb 19, 2005 3pm
Wolves
2-2
Gillingham
Miller (60'), Clarke (90')
Naylor (90')
Flynn (89'), Henderson (55')
Southall (54')
Oct 30, 2004 3pm
Gillingham
1-0
Wolves
Jarvis (18')
Hessenthaler (13'), Sidibe (38')
Cox (12')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool119112161528
2Manchester CityMan City117222213923
3Chelsea115422113819
4Arsenal115421812619
5Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest115421510519
6Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton115421915419
7Fulham115331613318
8Newcastle UnitedNewcastle115331311218
9Aston Villa115331717018
10Tottenham HotspurSpurs1151523131016
11Brentford115152222016
12Bournemouth114341515015
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd114341212015
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham113351319-612
15Leicester CityLeicester112451421-710
16Everton112451017-710
17Ipswich TownIpswich111551222-108
18Crystal Palace11146815-77
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves111371627-116
20Southampton11119721-144


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