EFL Cup

EFL Cup | First Round

Aug 9, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

Bloomfield Road

Blackpool
0 - 0
Barrow

Lubala (83')

Gordon (41'), Foley (75'), Neal (90+5')

Barrow win 4-2 on penalties

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Cup clash between Blackpool and Barrow, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Blackpool

Last Six:

Last Game: Stoke 2-0 Blackpool
Saturday, August 6 at 3pm in Championship

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
12	Stoke City	2	0	3
13	Blackpool	2	-1	3
14	West Bromwich Albion	2	0	2

Barrow

Last Six:

Last Game: Barrow 3-2 Bradford
Saturday, August 6 at 3pm in League Two

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
3	Leyton Orient	2	3	6
4	Barrow	2	2	6
5	Stevenage	2	2	6

With Blackpool expected to name a heavily-changed side, Barrow will feel like they are capable of causing an upset. However, the Tangerines should still have enough quality in their ranks to come through with the win, potentially by the odd goal in three. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Blackpool win with a probability of 43.96%. A win for Barrow had a probability of 31.68% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Blackpool win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.54%) and 2-0 (6.86%). The likeliest Barrow win was 1-2 (7.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.34%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.

Result
Blackpool	Draw	Barrow
43.96% ( -0.07)	24.35% ( -0.01)	31.68% ( 0.08)

Both teams to score 58.75% (

0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.18% (

0.1)

43.81% (

-0.1)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.79% (

0.1)

66.2% (

-0.1)

Blackpool Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.92% (

0.01)

20.08% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.69% (

0.01)

52.31% (

-0.02)

Barrow Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.5% (

0.1)

26.49% (

-0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.32% (

0.13)

61.68% (

-0.14)

Score Analysis

Blackpool 43.96%

Barrow 31.68%

Draw 24.35%

Blackpool	Draw	Barrow
2-1 @ 9.11% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 8.54% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 6.86% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 4.87% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.67% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.24% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.96% 4-0 @ 1.47% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.3% ( 0) Other @ 2.95% Total : 43.96%	1-1 @ 11.34% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.05% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.32% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.43% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.35%	1-2 @ 7.53% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 7.06% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 4.69% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 3.34% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.68% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.08% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.11% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.19% Total : 31.68%