Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heracles win with a probability of 61.33%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Dordrecht had a probability of 17.48%.

The most likely scoreline for a Heracles win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.41%) and 1-2 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.02%), while for a Dordrecht win it was 1-0 (5.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Heracles would win this match.

Result
Dordrecht	Draw	Heracles
17.48% ( 1.2)	21.18% ( 1.25)	61.33% ( -2.45)

Both teams to score 53.08% (

-1.68)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.33% (

-3.49)

43.66% (

3.49)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.95% (

-3.51)

66.05% (

3.51)

Dordrecht Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.53% (

-0.67)

38.47% (

0.66)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.78% (

-0.64)

75.22% (

0.64)

Heracles Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.27% (

-1.79)

13.73% (

1.79)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59% (

-3.67)

41% (

3.67)

Score Analysis

Dordrecht 17.48%

Heracles 61.32%

Draw 21.18%

Dordrecht	Draw	Heracles
1-0 @ 5.05% ( 0.65) 2-1 @ 4.79% ( 0.25) 2-0 @ 2.41% ( 0.27) 3-1 @ 1.52% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 1.51% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.2% Total : 17.48%	1-1 @ 10.02% ( 0.69) 0-0 @ 5.28% ( 0.77) 2-2 @ 4.75% ( -0.07) 3-3 @ 1% ( -0.11) Other @ 0.13% Total : 21.18%	0-1 @ 10.48% ( 0.88) 0-2 @ 10.41% ( 0.22) 1-2 @ 9.95% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 6.89% ( -0.33) 1-3 @ 6.58% ( -0.44) 0-4 @ 3.42% ( -0.41) 1-4 @ 3.27% ( -0.46) 2-3 @ 3.14% ( -0.27) 2-4 @ 1.56% ( -0.25) 0-5 @ 1.36% ( -0.27) 1-5 @ 1.3% ( -0.29) Other @ 2.96% Total : 61.32%