Eerste Divisie | Gameweek 18

Dec 16, 2022 at 7pm UK

Polman Stadion

Heracles
8 - 1
Dordrecht

Armenteros (8', 45+2', 56'), Hansson (37', 81', 83'), Bruns (39'), Laursen (61')
Bakboord (41')

FT(HT: 4-1)

Balde (33')
Schuurman (24')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Eerste Divisie clash between Heracles and Dordrecht.

Form, Standings, Stats

Heracles

All competitions

Last Game: Roda JC 1-3 Heracles
Sunday, December 11 at 1.30pm in Eerste Divisie

Goals
for

Top scorers

Dordrecht

All competitions

Last Game: Oss 0-1 Dordrecht
Sunday, December 11 at 1.30pm in Eerste Divisie

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heracles win with a probability of 70.7%. A draw had a probability of 17% and a win for Dordrecht had a probability of 12.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Heracles win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.53%) and 1-0 (8.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.86%), while for a Dordrecht win it was 1-2 (3.59%). The actual scoreline of 8-1 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Heracles would win this match.

Result
Heracles	Draw	Dordrecht
70.7% ( -0.08)	16.99% ( -0.02)	12.3% ( 0.1)

Both teams to score 54.57% (

0.43)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

64.82% (

0.38)

35.18% (

-0.39)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

42.81% (

0.43)

57.19% (

-0.43)

Heracles Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

91.15% (

0.08)

8.85% (

-0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

69.7% (

0.19)

30.3% (

-0.2)

Dordrecht Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.87% (

0.42)

40.13% (

-0.42)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.23% (

0.38)

76.77% (

-0.38)

Score Analysis

Heracles 70.69%

Dordrecht 12.3%

Draw 16.99%

Heracles	Draw	Dordrecht
2-0 @ 10.43% ( -0.13) 2-1 @ 9.53% ( -0) 1-0 @ 8.61% ( -0.14) 3-0 @ 8.44% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 7.71% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 5.12% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 4.67% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 3.52% ( 0.05) 5-0 @ 2.48% ( -0) 5-1 @ 2.27% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 2.13% ( 0.04) 5-2 @ 1.04% ( 0.02) 6-0 @ 1% ( 0) 6-1 @ 0.92% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.84% Total : 70.69%	1-1 @ 7.86% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 4.35% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 3.55% ( -0.07) 3-3 @ 1.07% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.16% Total : 16.99%	1-2 @ 3.59% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 3.24% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 1.48% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.32% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 1.09% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.58% Total : 12.3%