Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cambuur win with a probability of 54.85%. A win for NAC Breda had a probability of 23.72% and a draw had a probability of 21.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cambuur win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.58%) and 1-0 (7.48%). The likeliest NAC Breda win was 1-2 (6.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.52%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cambuur would win this match.