Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NAC Breda win with a probability of 56.22%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for MVV Maastricht had a probability of 21.71%.
The most likely scoreline for a NAC Breda win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.21%) and 2-0 (8.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.26%), while for a MVV Maastricht win it was 1-2 (5.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that NAC Breda would win this match.