Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cambuur win with a probability of 44.83%. A win for NAC Breda had a probability of 31.17% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cambuur win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.27%) and 0-2 (6.84%). The likeliest NAC Breda win was 2-1 (7.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.1%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cambuur would win this match.