DFB-Pokal | Second Round
Oct 29, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
RheinEnergieStadion
FC Koln3 - 0Holstein Kiel
Lemperle (8'), Waldschmidt (84', 90+7')
Struber (38'), Huseinbasic (44'), Lemperle (89'), Paqarada (90+4')
Struber (38'), Huseinbasic (44'), Lemperle (89'), Paqarada (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: FC Koln 1-2 SC Paderborn
Friday, October 25 at 5.30pm in 2.Bundesliga
Friday, October 25 at 5.30pm in 2.Bundesliga
Goals
for
for
22
Last Game: Stuttgart 2-1 Holstein Kiel
Saturday, October 26 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Saturday, October 26 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Goals
for
for
10
We said: FC Koln 2-1 Holstein Kiel
Both teams are coming into this clash low on confidence, but Koln have still managed to win some games compared to Kiel who have won just one competitive game all season, which is why we expect the hosts to edge this out, even if it goes to extra time. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Koln win with a probability of 61.47%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for Holstein Kiel had a probability of 18.87%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Koln win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.36%) and 1-0 (7.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.73%), while for a Holstein Kiel win it was 1-2 (5.07%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Koln would win this match.
| Result | ||
| FC Koln | Draw | Holstein Kiel |
61.47% ( -0) | 19.66% | 18.87% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 61.32% ( 0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.84% ( 0) | 34.16% ( -0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.95% ( 0) | 56.05% ( -0.01) |
| FC Koln Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.23% ( -0) | 10.77% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 65.22% ( -0) | 34.78% |
| Holstein Kiel Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.72% ( 0) | 31.28% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 32.37% ( 0) | 67.63% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
FC Koln 61.47%
Holstein Kiel 18.87%
Draw 19.66%
| FC Koln | Draw | Holstein Kiel |
| 2-1 @ 9.72% ( -0) 2-0 @ 8.36% ( -0)1-0 @ 7.51% ( -0)3-1 @ 7.22% 3-0 @ 6.21% ( -0)3-2 @ 4.2% ( 0)4-1 @ 4.02% 4-0 @ 3.46% ( -0)4-2 @ 2.34% 5-1 @ 1.79% 5-0 @ 1.54% 5-2 @ 1.04% 4-3 @ 0.91% Other @ 3.15% Total : 61.47% | 1-1 @ 8.73% 2-2 @ 5.65% 0-0 @ 3.37% 3-3 @ 1.63% Other @ 0.29% Total : 19.66% | 1-2 @ 5.07% ( 0) 0-1 @ 3.92% ( -0)0-2 @ 2.28% 2-3 @ 2.19% ( 0)1-3 @ 1.97% ( 0)Other @ 3.46% Total : 18.87% |
How you voted: FC Koln vs Holstein Kiel
FC Koln
70.0%Draw
14.0%Holstein Kiel
16.0%50
Form Guide
