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Bundesliga
Stuttgart
Bundesliga | Gameweek 8
Oct 26, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
Mercedes-Benz-Arena

Stuttgart
2 - 1
Holstein Kiel

Undav (19'), Bilal Toure (61')
Vagnomann (49'), Chabot (63')
Chabot (66')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Gigovic (84')
Schulz (31'), Remberg (66'), Gigovic (71'), Geschwill (80'), Arp (81')
Arp (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Stuttgart and Holstein Kiel, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Stuttgart

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: Juventus 0-1 Stuttgart
Tuesday, October 22 at 8pm in Champions League

Holstein Kiel

All competitions
Last Game: Holstein Kiel 0-2 Union Berlin
Sunday, October 20 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Stuttgart 2-1 Holstein Kiel

 Given the energy that Stuttgart expended against Juventus, it would not be surprising if they looked somewhat disjointed in the opening stages of the game. However, it is difficult to look past Holstein Kiel's poor form this season, and the hosts should be strong favourites heading into Saturday's match. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stuttgart win with a probability of 69.08%. A draw had a probability of 16.8% and a win for Holstein Kiel had a probability of 14.15%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stuttgart win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.46%) and 3-1 (7.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.22%), while for a Holstein Kiel win it was 1-2 (3.96%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Stuttgart in this match.

Result
StuttgartDrawHolstein Kiel
69.08% (0.071999999999989 0.07) 16.77% (-0.038 -0.04) 14.15% (-0.036 -0.04)
Both teams to score 61.44% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
70.79% (0.102 0.1)29.21% (-0.106 -0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
49.77% (0.126 0.13)50.23% (-0.13 -0.13)
Stuttgart Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.31% (0.040000000000006 0.04)7.69% (-0.042 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
72.59% (0.10299999999999 0.1)27.41% (-0.105 -0.11)
Holstein Kiel Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.56% (0.022999999999996 0.02)33.44% (-0.026000000000003 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.93% (0.025000000000002 0.03)70.07% (-0.028000000000006 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Stuttgart 69.08%
    Holstein Kiel 14.15%
    Draw 16.77%
StuttgartDrawHolstein Kiel
2-1 @ 9.27% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-0 @ 8.46% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-1 @ 7.93% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
3-0 @ 7.24% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-0 @ 6.59% (-0.027 -0.03)
4-1 @ 5.08% (0.015 0.01)
4-0 @ 4.64% (0.011 0.01)
3-2 @ 4.34% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
4-2 @ 2.79% (0.01 0.01)
5-1 @ 2.61% (0.013 0.01)
5-0 @ 2.38% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
5-2 @ 1.43% (0.008 0.01)
6-1 @ 1.12% (0.008 0.01)
6-0 @ 1.02% (0.006 0.01)
4-3 @ 1.02% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 3.18%
Total : 69.08%
1-1 @ 7.22% (-0.024 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.08% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-0 @ 2.57% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.59% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 16.77%
1-2 @ 3.96% (-0.01 -0.01)
0-1 @ 2.82% (-0.015 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.85% (0.0010000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 1.54% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.45% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 14.15%

How you voted: Stuttgart vs Holstein Kiel

Stuttgart
87.1%
Draw
12.9%
Holstein Kiel
0.0%
70
Head to Head
May 24, 2020 12.30pm
Gameweek 27
Holstein Kiel
3-2
Stuttgart
Iyoha (7'), Dehm (78'), Lauberbach (79')
Iyoha (40'), Porath (69')
Gonzalez (59' pen.), Wamangituka (86')
Karazor (26'), Didavi (41')
Didavi (45')
Oct 20, 2019 12.30pm
Gameweek 10
Stuttgart
0-1
Holstein Kiel

Badstuber (30'), Ascacibar (73')
Badstuber (53')
Jae-sung (55')
van den Bergh (38'), Schmidt (63')
Aug 8, 2015 7.30pm
First Round
Holstein Kiel
1-2
Stuttgart
Czichos (37')
Hermann (43')
Didavi (41'), Ginczek (60')
Gruezo (58'), Rupp (91')
> Match Report
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern14103142123033
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen1485132201229
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1483334201427
4RB Leipzig148332315827
5Freiburg147342019124
6Stuttgart146532924523
7Mainz 05Mainz146442519622
8Borussia DortmundDortmund146442521422
9Werder Bremen146442224-222
10Wolfsburg146353125621
11Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach146352319421
12Union BerlinUnion Berlin144551315-217
13Augsburg144461627-1116
14Hoffenheim143561926-714
15St Pauli143291119-811
16Heidenheim1431101831-1310
17Holstein Kiel1412111437-235
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1403111135-243
> Bundesliga Full Table


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