Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
Apr 27, 2022 at 11.15pm UK
Estadio de la Universidad Nacional San Agustín
Melgar3 - 1Racing
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Melgar and Racing Club.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Melgar 3-1 Cuiaba
Thursday, May 26 at 11.15pm in Copa Sudamericana
Thursday, May 26 at 11.15pm in Copa Sudamericana
Next Game: Deportivo Cali vs. Melgar
Thursday, June 30 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana
Thursday, June 30 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Racing 2-0 Huracan
Sunday, June 5 at 1.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Sunday, June 5 at 1.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Next Game: Godoy Cruz vs. Racing
Sunday, June 12 at 7.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Sunday, June 12 at 7.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Racing Club | 14 | 15 | 30 |
| 2 | Estudiantes | 13 | 15 | 28 |
| 3 | River Plate | 13 | 18 | 26 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melgar win with a probability of 39.86%. A win for Racing Club had a probability of 34.35% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melgar win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.61%) and 2-0 (6.69%). The likeliest Racing Club win was 0-1 (8.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.23%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Melgar would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Melgar | Draw | Racing Club |
| 39.86% | 25.79% | 34.35% |
| Both teams to score 54.7% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
