Copa Sudamericana | First Round | 2nd Leg
Mar 16, 2022 at 12.30am UK
Estadio Melgar
Melgar1 - 0Cienciano
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana First Round clash between Melgar and Cienciano.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Melgar 3-1 Cuiaba
Thursday, May 26 at 11.15pm in Copa Sudamericana
Thursday, May 26 at 11.15pm in Copa Sudamericana
Next Game: Deportivo Cali vs. Melgar
Thursday, June 30 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana
Thursday, June 30 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melgar win with a probability of 48.71%. A win for Cienciano had a probability of 26.97% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melgar win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.51%) and 2-0 (8.12%). The likeliest Cienciano win was 0-1 (6.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Melgar in this match.
| Result | ||
| Melgar | Draw | Cienciano |
| 48.71% | 24.31% | 26.97% |
| Both teams to score 55.81% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
