Copa Sudamericana | First Round | 1st Leg
Mar 9, 2022 at 12.30am UK
Cienciano1 - 1Melgar
Estrada (48')
Cossio (38'), Fuentes (45'), Romero (51'), Ibanez (90+3')
Cossio (38'), Fuentes (45'), Romero (51'), Ibanez (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana First Round clash between Cienciano and Melgar.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Racing 1-0 Melgar
Thursday, May 19 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana
Thursday, May 19 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana
Next Game: Melgar vs. Cuiaba
Thursday, May 26 at 11.15pm in Copa Sudamericana
Thursday, May 26 at 11.15pm in Copa Sudamericana
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cienciano win with a probability of 39.25%. A win for Melgar had a probability of 37.2% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cienciano win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.77%) and 2-0 (5.44%). The likeliest Melgar win was 1-2 (8.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Cienciano | Draw | Melgar |
| 39.25% | 23.55% | 37.2% |
| Both teams to score 63.17% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
