After dropping out of South America's top competition, Deportivo Cali will be keen to begin the Copa Sudamericana knockout stage on the front foot, and they have the quality to take a lead with home advantage on Thursday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Deportivo Cali win with a probability of 50.58%. A win for Melgar had a probability of 25.07% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Deportivo Cali win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.6%) and 2-0 (8.76%). The likeliest Melgar win was 0-1 (6.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.55%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.

Result
Deportivo Cali	Draw	Melgar
50.58% ( 0.01)	24.35% ( -0.01)	25.07% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 53.92% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.02% (

0.02)

47.98% (

-0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.85% (

0.02)

70.15% (

-0.01)

Deportivo Cali Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.01% (

0.01)

18.99% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.47% (

0.02)

50.53% (

-0.02)

Melgar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.56% (

33.44% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.93% (

0.01)

70.07% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Deportivo Cali 50.57%

Melgar 25.07%

Draw 24.35%

Deportivo Cali	Draw	Melgar
1-0 @ 10.54% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.6% ( 0) 2-0 @ 8.76% ( 0) 3-1 @ 5.32% ( 0) 3-0 @ 4.85% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.91% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.21% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.02% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.21% ( 0) Other @ 3.15% Total : 50.57%	1-1 @ 11.55% 0-0 @ 6.35% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.26% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.06% ( 0) Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.35%	0-1 @ 6.96% ( -0) 1-2 @ 6.33% ( -0) 0-2 @ 3.81% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.31% 2-3 @ 1.92% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.39% Other @ 2.35% Total : 25.07%