Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
May 30, 2024 at 1am UK
Estadio Norberto Tito Tomaghello
Defensa0 - 1Cesar Vallejo
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Defensa y Justicia and Cesar Vallejo.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Newell's OB 1-0 Defensa
Saturday, May 25 at 9.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Saturday, May 25 at 9.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Goals
for
for
20
Last Game: Cesar Vallejo 2-2 Always Ready
Thursday, May 16 at 3am in Copa Sudamericana
Thursday, May 16 at 3am in Copa Sudamericana
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensa y Justicia win with a probability of 64.6%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Cesar Vallejo had a probability of 15.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Defensa y Justicia win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.03%) and 2-1 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.64%), while for a Cesar Vallejo win it was 0-1 (4.71%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Defensa y Justicia | Draw | Cesar Vallejo |
64.6% ( 0.07) | 20.29% ( -0.02) | 15.1% ( -0.05) |
Both teams to score 50.72% ( -0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.87% ( 0) | 44.13% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.49% ( 0) | 66.51% ( -0.01) |
Defensa y Justicia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.09% ( 0.02) | 12.91% ( -0.02) |