Newell's OB1 - 0Defensa
Form, Standings, Stats
Wednesday, May 22 at 12am in Argentine Primera Division
Sunday, May 19 at 12am in Argentine Primera Division
for
We said: Newell's Old Boys 2-0 Defensa y Justicia
Defensa might have picked up three points the last time these two teams met, but this is going to be a tricky test for them this time around. The poor form that the visitors are bringing into this game coupled with the fact that Newell's OB are at home should lead to them winning. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newell's Old Boys win with a probability of 48.31%. A draw had a probability of 28.1% and a win for Defensa y Justicia had a probability of 23.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newell's Old Boys win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.1%) and 2-1 (8.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.73%), while for a Defensa y Justicia win it was 0-1 (9.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Newell's Old Boys in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Newell's Old Boys.
Result | ||
Newell's Old Boys | Draw | Defensa y Justicia |
48.31% ( 0.09) | 28.1% ( -0.01) | 23.59% ( -0.09) |
Both teams to score 42.04% ( -0.07) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
37.25% ( -0.04) | 62.75% ( 0.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
17.71% ( -0.03) | 82.28% ( 0.03) |
Newell's Old Boys Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.78% ( 0.03) | 26.22% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.68% ( 0.04) | 61.32% ( -0.04) |
Defensa y Justicia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
56.98% ( -0.11) | 43.02% ( 0.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
20.69% ( -0.09) | 79.3% ( 0.09) |
Score Analysis |
Newell's Old Boys | Draw | Defensa y Justicia |
1-0 @ 15.09% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 10.1% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 8.53% 3-0 @ 4.51% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 3.8% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.61% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.51% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.27% ( 0) Other @ 1.88% Total : 48.3% | 1-1 @ 12.73% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 11.27% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 3.6% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.48% Total : 28.08% | 0-1 @ 9.51% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 5.37% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 4.01% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 1.51% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.13% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.01% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.04% Total : 23.59% |