Copa Libertadores | First Round | 2nd Leg
Feb 16, 2024 at 12.30am UK
Estadio Defensores del Chaco
Nacional3 - 0Aucas
Duarte (12', 31'), Arevalo (55')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Mina (77'), Briones (84')
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores First Round clash between Club Nacional and Aucas.
Form, Standings, Stats
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club Nacional win with a probability of 51.07%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for Aucas had a probability of 22.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a Club Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.24%) and 2-1 (9.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.29%), while for an Aucas win it was 0-1 (8.29%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Club Nacional would win this match.
Result | ||
Club Nacional | Draw | Aucas |
51.07% (![]() | 26.32% (![]() | 22.61% (![]() |
Both teams to score 45.58% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
42.35% (![]() | 57.65% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.59% (![]() | 78.41% (![]() |
Club Nacional Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.32% (![]() | 22.68% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.67% (![]() | 56.33% (![]() |
Aucas Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.95% (![]() | 41.05% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.4% (![]() | 77.6% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Club Nacional 51.06%
Aucas 22.61%
Draw 26.31%
Club Nacional | Draw | Aucas |
1-0 @ 13.81% (![]() 2-0 @ 10.24% ( ![]() 2-1 @ 9.12% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 5.07% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 4.51% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.01% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.88% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.67% ( ![]() Other @ 2.75% Total : 51.06% | 1-1 @ 12.29% (![]() 0-0 @ 9.31% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 4.06% ( ![]() Other @ 0.65% Total : 26.31% | 0-1 @ 8.29% (![]() 1-2 @ 5.48% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 3.69% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 1.63% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.21% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.1% ( ![]() Other @ 1.23% Total : 22.61% |
Head to Head
Feb 9, 2024 12.30am
First Round 1st Leg
Aucas
1-0
Nacional
Medina (85' pen.)
Gonzalez (12'), Sanabria (33'), Canga (90+2')
Gonzalez (12'), Sanabria (33'), Canga (90+2')
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-06-21 14:58:22
Friday, June 21
5pm
Group Stage
Poland
vs.
Austria
8pm
Group Stage
Netherlands
vs.
France
Saturday, June 22
2pm
Group Stage
Georgia
vs.
Czech Republic
5pm
Group Stage
Turkey
vs.
Portugal
8pm
Group Stage
Belgium
vs.
Romania
Sunday, June 23
8pm
Group Stage
Scotland
vs.
Hungary
8pm
Group Stage
Switzerland
vs.
Germany
Monday, June 24
8pm
Group Stage
Albania
vs.
Spain
8pm
Group Stage
Croatia
vs.
Italy
Tuesday, June 25
5pm
Group Stage
France
vs.
Poland
5pm
Group Stage
Netherlands
vs.
Austria
8pm
Group Stage
Denmark
vs.
Serbia
8pm
Group Stage
England
vs.
Slovenia
Wednesday, June 26
5pm
Group Stage
Slovakia
vs.
Romania
5pm
Group Stage
Ukraine
vs.
Belgium
8pm
Group Stage
Czech Republic
vs.
Turkey
8pm
Group Stage
Georgia
vs.
Portugal
Saturday, June 29
5pm
Round of 16
2nd Group A
vs.
2nd Group B
8pm
Round of 16
1st Group A
vs.
2nd Group C
Sunday, June 30
5pm
Round of 16
1st Group C
vs.
3rd Group D/E/F
8pm
Round of 16
Spain
vs.
3rd Group A/D/E/F
Monday, July 1
5pm
Round of 16
2nd Group D
vs.
2nd Group E
8pm
Round of 16
1st Group F
vs.
3rd Group A/B/C
Tuesday, July 2
5pm
Round of 16
1st Group E
vs.
3rd Group A/B/C/D
8pm
Round of 16
1st Group D
vs.
2nd Group F
Friday, July 5
5pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 39
vs.
Winner Match 37
8pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 41
vs.
Winner Match 42
Saturday, July 6
5pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 40
vs.
Winner Match 38
8pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 43
vs.
Winner Match 44
Tuesday, July 9
8pm
Wednesday, July 10
8pm
Sunday, July 14
8pm
![Tables header RHS Tables header RHS](https://sm.imgix.net/23/25/tables-header-rhs.jpg?w=300&h=46)
Group A
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 |
2 | ![]() | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
3 | ![]() | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
4 | ![]() | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
Group D
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
1 | ![]() | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
2 | ![]() | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
3 | ![]() | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
4 | ![]() | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
1
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2
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3
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4
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5
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6
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7
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8
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9
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10
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