Copa Libertadores | Second Round | 1st Leg
Feb 21, 2023 at 10pm UK
Estadio Arsenio Erico
Nacional2 - 0Cristal
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Second Round clash between Club Nacional and Sporting Cristal.
Form, Standings, Stats
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club Nacional win with a probability of 38.71%. A win for Sporting Cristal had a probability of 33.56% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Club Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.14%) and 2-0 (7.15%). The likeliest Sporting Cristal win was 0-1 (10.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Club Nacional would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Club Nacional | Draw | Sporting Cristal |
38.71% ( -1.71) | 27.73% ( -0.27) | 33.56% ( 1.98) |
| Both teams to score 48.39% ( 1.27) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.58% ( 1.35) | 57.42% ( -1.35) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.77% ( 1.07) | 78.23% ( -1.06) |
| Club Nacional Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.19% ( -0.33) | 28.81% ( 0.33) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 35.33% ( -0.41) | 64.67% ( 0.41) |
| Sporting Cristal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.97% ( 2.08) | 32.03% ( -2.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 31.5% ( 2.3) | 68.5% ( -2.3) |
| Score Analysis |
Club Nacional 38.71%
Sporting Cristal 33.55%
Draw 27.73%
| Club Nacional | Draw | Sporting Cristal |
| 1-0 @ 11.48% ( -0.72) 2-1 @ 8.14% ( -0.11)2-0 @ 7.15% ( -0.52)3-1 @ 3.37% ( -0.08)3-0 @ 2.96% ( -0.24)3-2 @ 1.92% ( 0.07)4-1 @ 1.05% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 0.92% ( -0.08)Other @ 1.71% Total : 38.71% | 1-1 @ 13.07% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 9.23% ( -0.49)2-2 @ 4.63% ( 0.2)Other @ 0.8% Total : 27.73% | 0-1 @ 10.5% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 7.44% ( 0.38)0-2 @ 5.98% ( 0.36)1-3 @ 2.82% ( 0.29)0-3 @ 2.27% ( 0.25)2-3 @ 1.76% ( 0.17)Other @ 2.78% Total : 33.55% |
How you voted: Nacional vs Cristal
Club Nacional
42.9%Draw
42.9%Sporting Cristal
14.3%7
Form Guide
