Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Nacional win with a probability of 52.74%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Club Nacional had a probability of 22.11%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.15%) and 2-1 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.9%), while for a Club Nacional win it was 0-1 (7.5%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood.

Result
Atletico Nacional	Draw	Club Nacional
52.74% ( -0.34)	25.15% ( -0.04)	22.11% ( 0.37)

Both teams to score 48.22% (

0.56)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.12% (

0.5)

53.87% (

-0.5)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.66% (

0.42)

75.33% (

-0.42)

Atletico Nacional Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.57% (

0.06)

20.43% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.13% (

0.1)

52.87% (

-0.1)

Club Nacional Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.6% (

0.66)

39.4% (

-0.66)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.9% (

0.61)

76.09% (

-0.61)

Score Analysis

Atletico Nacional 52.73%

Club Nacional 22.11%

Draw 25.15%

Atletico Nacional	Draw	Club Nacional
1-0 @ 12.78% ( -0.23) 2-0 @ 10.15% ( -0.16) 2-1 @ 9.46% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 5.38% ( -0.08) 3-1 @ 5.01% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.33% ( 0.05) 4-0 @ 2.13% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.99% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 0.93% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.59% Total : 52.73%	1-1 @ 11.9% 0-0 @ 8.05% ( -0.16) 2-2 @ 4.4% ( 0.09) Other @ 0.8% Total : 25.15%	0-1 @ 7.5% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 5.55% ( 0.1) 0-2 @ 3.49% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 1.72% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 1.37% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 1.08% ( 0.04) Other @ 1.41% Total : 22.11%