MX23RW : Sunday, November 24 16:11:01| >> :600:15322064:15322064:
Columbus Crew
CONCACAF Champions League | Semi-Finals | 1st Leg
Apr 25, 2024 at 1.15am UK
Lower.com Field

Columbus Crew
2 - 1
Monterrey

FT(HT: 1-0)
Meza (58')
Meza (66'), Moreno (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's CONCACAF Champions Cup clash between Columbus Crew and Monterrey, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Columbus Crew 2-2 Portland
Sunday, April 21 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Columbus Crew 1-1 Monterrey

Experience will favour the visitors, but we expect the Crew to come out aggressively at home and find a way to earn a result, given their strong form at Lower.com Field and their ability to react well when suffering a setback throughout this competition. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Columbus Crew win with a probability of 46.77%. A win for Monterrey had a probability of 28.29% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Columbus Crew win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.33%) and 2-0 (7.96%). The likeliest Monterrey win was 0-1 (7.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.81%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Columbus Crew would win this match.

Result
Columbus CrewDrawMonterrey
46.77% (0.050000000000004 0.05) 24.93% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 28.29% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
Both teams to score 54.81% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.91% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)48.09% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.74% (-0.004999999999999 -0)70.25% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Columbus Crew Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.39% (0.018000000000001 0.02)20.6% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.85% (0.029999999999994 0.03)53.15% (-0.029000000000003 -0.03)
Monterrey Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.04% (-0.033999999999992 -0.03)30.96% (0.035 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.74% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)67.26% (0.040999999999997 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Columbus Crew 46.77%
    Monterrey 28.29%
    Draw 24.93%
Columbus CrewDrawMonterrey
1-0 @ 10.07% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.33% (0.0040000000000013 0)
2-0 @ 7.96% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.91% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-0 @ 4.19% (0.008 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.88%
4-1 @ 1.94% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 1.66% (0.004 0)
4-2 @ 1.14% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 46.77%
1-1 @ 11.81%
0-0 @ 6.38% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-2 @ 5.47% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-3 @ 1.13% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 24.93%
0-1 @ 7.48% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-2 @ 6.93% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.39% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.71% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.14% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 1.71% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 28.29%

How you voted: Columbus Crew vs Monterrey

Columbus Crew
34.5%
Draw
27.6%
Monterrey
37.9%
29
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