Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santos win with a probability of 50.47%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Bahia had a probability of 23.71%.
The most likely scoreline for a Santos win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.73%) and 2-1 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.2%), while for a Bahia win it was 0-1 (8.01%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood.